World at war and the implications for European & Danish security
Fra Hanne Høy Kejser Created from World at war and the implications for European and Danish security af Jakob Morthorst-Jensen
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Peter Viggo Jakobsen, Associate Professor in the Dep. of Strategy and War Studies at the Royal Danish Defence College in Copenhagen
World at war and the implications for European and Danish security
The level of armed conflict and confrontation in the world is increasing because the relationship between the dominant military powers: China, Russia and the United States is deteriorating.
The United States and its allies have exploited Russia’s failed invasion of Ukraine in 2022 to wage a large-scale war of proxy against Russia. Russia has responded by increasing its use of hybrid war against Europe and Denmark significantly.
The election of Trump as president has shaken Europe’s faith in the United States and the security guarantee it provides in NATO. Trump’s policy towards Ukraine and NATO is unclear and this was led the Danish government to spend money on defence, resilience and emergency instead of just talking about it. The confrontation will Russia will remain as long as Russia continues to occupy parts of Ukraine and Russia will continue its hybrid war against EU/NATO whether a ceasefire is arranged in Ukraine or not. This means that Denmark will need to increase its ability to manage crises and hybrid attacks
This is from the conference "Uncertainty Management - Risk Management in a Rapidly Changing World". Read about the conference themes here.
About the speaker: Peter Viggo Jakobsen (PhD) is Associate Professor at the Institute for Strategy and War Studies at the Royal Danish Defence College. He has acted as an advisor and consultant for several governments and international organizations, is frequently used by the Danish and international media as a commentator on defence and security issues, has won awards for his teaching and public dissemination skills and has written extensively on many defence and security related issues.
E-mail: pevi@fak.dk
Primary research and teaching areas: Danish and Nordic defence and security, the role of NATO and the UN in international peace and security, stabilization operations, conflict management, civil-military cooperation and the comprehensive approach, strategy, use of force and coercive diplomacy
Media, public lectures and consultancy: frequently used commentator on defence and security issues by the Danish and international media; gives many lectures on these issues; and has acted as an advisor and consultant for several governments and international organizations. Receiver of Danish public dissemination prizes (e.g. Meningsmodig Dansker prisen and Columbus-prisen). No. 1 on the list of the most cited experts in the Danish media in 2024.
Peer-review: member of the editorial boards of the journals: European Security (Taylor and Francis, London), International Peacekeeping (Routledge, London), Politica (Aarhus), Military and Strategic Affairs (Institute for National Security Studies, Tel Aviv) and reviewer for several Danish and international journals and book publishers.
International experience: Visiting professor at International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA (2006) and Dept. of War Studies, King’s College of London (1996).
Education: MA and Ph.D. in International Relations from Department of Political Science, Aarhus University.
Selected recent publications in English: Success defying all expectations: How and why limited use of force helped to end Somali piracy, Journal of Strategic Studies, 47/2, 2024, 263-287 (co-author Troels Burchall Henningsen). The post-hegemonic turn in humanitarian intervention: regional ownership and troubled great power management, International Relations, 19 January 2024 (co-author Tonny Brems Knudsen), https://doi.org/10.1177/00471178231222893 Causal Theories of Threat and Success – Simple Analytical Tools Making it Easier to Assess, Formulate, and Validate Military Strategy. Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies, 5(1) 2022, 177–191. DOI: http://doi.org/10.31374/sjms.164 Coercive diplomacy: Countering War-threatening Crises and Armed Conflicts, in Alan Collins (ed.) Contemporary Security Studies (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 6 edition, 2022), 297-311. In the shadows: The challenge of Russian and Chinese gray zone conflict for the West in Sten Rynning, Olivier Schmitt and Amelie Theussen (eds.) Western Perceptions of Time and the Pace of War (Washington D.C: Brookings Institutions Press, 2021), 161-183. Co-author: Amelie Theussen. Deterrence in Peace Operations: Look Beyond the Battlefield and Expand the Number of Targets and Influence Mechanisms in Frans Osinga and Tim Sweijs (eds.) NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020: Deterrence in the 21st Century: Insights from Theory and Practice (Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland AG, 2021): 327-345.
World at war and the implications for European and Danish security
The level of armed conflict and confrontation in the world is increasing because the relationship between the dominant military powers: China, Russia and the United States is deteriorating.
The United States and its allies have exploited Russia’s failed invasion of Ukraine in 2022 to wage a large-scale war of proxy against Russia. Russia has responded by increasing its use of hybrid war against Europe and Denmark significantly.
The election of Trump as president has shaken Europe’s faith in the United States and the security guarantee it provides in NATO. Trump’s policy towards Ukraine and NATO is unclear and this was led the Danish government to spend money on defence, resilience and emergency instead of just talking about it. The confrontation will Russia will remain as long as Russia continues to occupy parts of Ukraine and Russia will continue its hybrid war against EU/NATO whether a ceasefire is arranged in Ukraine or not. This means that Denmark will need to increase its ability to manage crises and hybrid attacks
This is from the conference "Uncertainty Management - Risk Management in a Rapidly Changing World". Read about the conference themes here.
About the speaker: Peter Viggo Jakobsen (PhD) is Associate Professor at the Institute for Strategy and War Studies at the Royal Danish Defence College. He has acted as an advisor and consultant for several governments and international organizations, is frequently used by the Danish and international media as a commentator on defence and security issues, has won awards for his teaching and public dissemination skills and has written extensively on many defence and security related issues.
E-mail: pevi@fak.dk
Primary research and teaching areas: Danish and Nordic defence and security, the role of NATO and the UN in international peace and security, stabilization operations, conflict management, civil-military cooperation and the comprehensive approach, strategy, use of force and coercive diplomacy
Media, public lectures and consultancy: frequently used commentator on defence and security issues by the Danish and international media; gives many lectures on these issues; and has acted as an advisor and consultant for several governments and international organizations. Receiver of Danish public dissemination prizes (e.g. Meningsmodig Dansker prisen and Columbus-prisen). No. 1 on the list of the most cited experts in the Danish media in 2024.
Peer-review: member of the editorial boards of the journals: European Security (Taylor and Francis, London), International Peacekeeping (Routledge, London), Politica (Aarhus), Military and Strategic Affairs (Institute for National Security Studies, Tel Aviv) and reviewer for several Danish and international journals and book publishers.
International experience: Visiting professor at International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA (2006) and Dept. of War Studies, King’s College of London (1996).
Education: MA and Ph.D. in International Relations from Department of Political Science, Aarhus University.
Selected recent publications in English: Success defying all expectations: How and why limited use of force helped to end Somali piracy, Journal of Strategic Studies, 47/2, 2024, 263-287 (co-author Troels Burchall Henningsen). The post-hegemonic turn in humanitarian intervention: regional ownership and troubled great power management, International Relations, 19 January 2024 (co-author Tonny Brems Knudsen), https://doi.org/10.1177/00471178231222893 Causal Theories of Threat and Success – Simple Analytical Tools Making it Easier to Assess, Formulate, and Validate Military Strategy. Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies, 5(1) 2022, 177–191. DOI: http://doi.org/10.31374/sjms.164 Coercive diplomacy: Countering War-threatening Crises and Armed Conflicts, in Alan Collins (ed.) Contemporary Security Studies (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 6 edition, 2022), 297-311. In the shadows: The challenge of Russian and Chinese gray zone conflict for the West in Sten Rynning, Olivier Schmitt and Amelie Theussen (eds.) Western Perceptions of Time and the Pace of War (Washington D.C: Brookings Institutions Press, 2021), 161-183. Co-author: Amelie Theussen. Deterrence in Peace Operations: Look Beyond the Battlefield and Expand the Number of Targets and Influence Mechanisms in Frans Osinga and Tim Sweijs (eds.) NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020: Deterrence in the 21st Century: Insights from Theory and Practice (Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland AG, 2021): 327-345.
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